Thursday, April 11, 2013

A tale of two rogue states : Iranian military vows to defend North Korea

http://www.jewishpress.com/news/iranian-military-chief-vows-to-defend-north-korea-from-us/2013/04/09/

The deputy chief of staff of the Iranian Armed Forces, Major General Masood Jazayeri announced that Iran will stand by North Korea and defend it in a war between the United States and North Korea.And just to make sure Americans understand he means business, Jazayeri warned that “America and her allies will suffer countless thousands of victims” should Iran and North Korea be provoked into a war with the U.S.

 I'v long suspected that the aggressive posture of North Korea in the last few months is actually a strategic move.  Notice that the international focus has entirely shifted away from Iran towards the Korean peninsula and the threat of a potential war that could drag China , the USA and Japan into the fray.
       My own theory is as follows :

1. North Korea is bluffing , and just wants to remind the world that while they will lose any war in the long term, they can still cause massive loss of life and damage to the world economy.

2. The bluff is a strategic move to allow Iran time to secure their own nuclear arsenal . Iran has already enriched enough uranium for several bombs and it is estimated they will have a working bomb by early 2014.

3. Once Iran becomes a nuclear power , the threat of not one but two rogue states  in the face of a weaker USA will allow North Korea and Iran more freedom and security to do as they wish.

North Korea's agenda is simply ensuring the longevity of its regime , Kim Jong Un is a very young man and he intends to be in power for perhaps 40 years to come . Crippling economic sanctions may make that prospect unlikely.

Iran's agenda would be regional dominance. While it threatens to nuke Isreal , such an act will guarentee a massive retaliation from Isreal's own nuclear arsenal that would ensure the extinction of the Iranian regime.
Rather Iran will more likely use its nuclear arsenal as a shield not a sword :  They will exercise their influence via proxy wars with terrorist cells such as Hezbollah  and Hamas and try to bleed Isreal with a guerilla war.

 If Isreal attempts a major land invasion of Palestine , Lebanon or Syria to wipe out terrorist strongholds Iran may then threaten to intervene ,allowing terrorist cells to hide under Iran's nuclear shield as well.

And of course, we must never underestimate how evil human beings can be. Like Hitler before him , Ahmadinejad has sworn to wage war against the Jews and to wipe Isreal off the map. Up until the day Poland was invaded the entire western world considered Hitler's statements to be mere rhetoric - History records otherwise.

  One high yield nuclear weapon exploded above Tel Aviv would cause irreperable damage to the Isreali Population . The population of Isreal is only around 7.7 million and the global Jewish population around 12 million.  The loss of a 'few million jews' in a nuclear war would mean the end of Isreal as a Jewish state.

Of course it will not come to that - Between the Right Hand of Adonai , Isreal's Iron Dome missile defense system and the strength of the IDF Isreal will succeed in any war. Most likely Isreal will conduct air strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities before Iran can construct any functional atomic bombs.



    

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